Just Another Flu?
It’s
true that many thousands of people die from the flu each year. But
Covid-19 hasn’t been around a year — or even half a year. It’s
just getting started.
Coronavirus
may well be just another kind of flu, but with a higher fatality
rate.
The
evidence so far shows the disease kills a larger proportion of people
than the flu and is particularly lethal for the elderly and/or those
with underlying health-risk conditions.
Biologically,
it behaves differently to the flu. It takes one to 14 days for people
with Covid-19 infection to develop symptoms (five days is the
median). For the flu, it’s around two days. That potentially gives
people more time to spread the illness asymptomatically before they
know they are sick.
Four
or so months ago, this virus is believed to have made the leap from
animals to humans for the very first time. No human immune system had
seen it before November, so no human had any natural immunity to it.
That means it’s more contagious than the flu.
Currently,
there is no vaccine to combat it nor any approved therapeutics to
slow the course of its toll on humans.
Some
Epidemiologists say that 20 to 60 percent of the world’s adult
population could end up catching this virus.
It
also has a higher potential to overwhelm our health care system.
(See my recent blog from Dr Irial Violet)
Around
the country, health care providers are worried about their facilities
being overrun with an influx of patients, and having to ration
lifesaving medical supplies.
Moreover, NHS
staff are working without proper protection. “This is astonishing.
Our frontline heroes in the NHS are wearing 10p plastic bags on their
heads for protection. Something’s wrong. Something’s very wrong.”
Ian Lavery MP
Some
flu seasons are worse than others — but previously the NHS
anticipated flu cases, and prepared for them.
In
the UK warnings have been ignored. Richard Horton, Editor of The
Lancet says, “Scientists have been sounding the alarm on
coronavirus for months. Why did Britain fail to act?” (read more from Richard Horton here)
It’s
possible that Covid-19 will become endemic — meaning it will be a
disease that regularly attacks humans and will not go away until
there’s a treatment or a vaccine.
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